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We now believe that the first Fed rate hike will not come until December, and we continue to worry the Fed may be forced to ease again before it begins hiking rates.


Joe Abate

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It really reinforces the view that the Fed will continue to hike rates.
CHARMAINE BUSKAS We believe that the Fed will require both consistent solid hiring and a rise in inflation before it ...
MAURY HARRIS We think the Fed will continue cutting rates, although less aggressively. We are expecting another [...
BRUCE STEINBERG The Fed will be concerned about inflation pressures building and will keep on hiking interest rates....
INDRAJIT ADVANI It's unclear when the Fed will stop raising interest rates. Even if the rate hike comes to an end, H...
LOUIS WONG If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed a...
HARVINDER KALIRAI I think the Fed is going to raise interest rates over the rest of this year. I think it will go up a...
FRANKLIN RAINES We believe that the US Fed will make its final rate hike in the current cycle at the Jan 31 FOMC mee...
DAISUKE UNO The green light is there for the Fed to continue to raising rates. No doubt about it. The Fed may go...
GERALD ZUKOWSKI Employment growth will keep the economy going and the bond market will be susceptible to the strengt...
HIDEHIKO MAEJIMA The chances of a rate hike will underpin the dollar. Even though the Fed is coming to the end of its...
BESA DEDA After the Fed comes out with its rate hike, and when it communicates to the market that it's satisfi...
ASHRAF LAIDI We believe they'll hike rates at least one or two more times. Expectations the Fed will be vigilant ...
JOSE MAZAS We are starting to price in the possibility of increasing inflationary pressures when making decisio...
MASAYUKI YOSHIHARA We are expecting the Treasury market to continue to weaken in the next few months. There are no sign...
YASUTOSHI NAGAI As certain as it is that the sun rises in the east, the Fed will be hiking its benchmark interest ra...
JOHN LONSKI The Fed will continue to raise interest rates. We think they will do so twice more.
KATHLEEN STEPHANSEN The market is starting to prepare for some dour dollar news given that the Fed may be stopping (hiki...
JOE FRANCOMANO I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors ...
MARC GABELLI This ... will boost hopes that activity in the first half of 2006 will remain robust. It will also i...
JAMES KNIGHTLEY My take is that the Fed will continue to raise overnight rates until it feels it has moved from a st...
SHERRY COOPER The key number for the Fed was actually the unemployment rate and it went down and has been declinin...
KURT KARL The Fed made it reasonably clear they will raise rates again. The Fed is impacting the Dow stocks an...
ALAN KRAL More rate cuts may not be forthcoming, but the Fed is also not likely to start raising rates as quic...
ANTHONY CHAN It gives the Federal Reserve more leeway to cut rates. But I don't believe that a BOJ rate cut means...
JOHN LONSKI It gives the Federal Reserve more leeway to cut rates, ... But I don't believe that a BOJ rate cut m...
JOHN LONSKI The market has believed that next year the Fed will ease down while the ECB amps up its rate hike cy...
GREG SALVAGGIO It was a respectable day. But after the (Fed) decision tomorrow, I think we can do better. I think t...
LARRY WACHTEL The market is beginning to price the end of the (Fed) rate hiking cycle in.
LARS KRECKEL The Fed rate hike and statement has largely been digested by the market.
JEFF YOUNG We won't see big moves today in anticipation of the FOMC statement. The risk is out there that the F...
DAVID MANN Most people expect that the Fed will hike short-term rates more than the 10-year (yield) will go up ...
JAY BRYSON The question is: Will we get to a 4.25 percent fed funds rate in December?. If we do, then two-year ...
ERIC HILLER As the expectation is growing that the US Fed may end the rate hike cycle as early as its March meet...
DAISUKE UNO I find it difficult to believe the Fed will not continue to view strength in the U.S. economy and co...
ANDREW BRENNER If the Fed continues to raise rates, adjustable-rate mortgages will continue to get pinched. That's ...
DANIEL JESTER Yes, Greenspan does admit the obvious, that the real federal funds rate has risen considerably, but ...
ANTHONY CHAN The important thing is not whether the Fed can ease but the fact that people can even ask that quest...
CARY LEAHEY Treasury yields are generally moving higher because the market expects the Fed to continue to hike.
BERND WUEBBEN Historically, the three-month period before the Fed goes on hold in the rate hiking cycle, stocks ha...
MICHAEL SHELDON If (Alan) Greenspan were still leading the Fed, there would be more confidence in another rate hike....
ANDY WHITAKER Everyone knew the Fed was going to come in and do something sooner or later, ... We're no longer spe...
JOHN MANLEY The stronger consumer confidence, the more likely the Fed will keep hiking rates for longer. Yields ...
ALEX LI Given the market is looking for another rate hike at the end-March FOMC meeting, it seems likely tha...
ASHLEY DAVIES Unless the statement offers fresh indications that the US Fed will continue its rate hikes going for...
DAISUKE UNO Today's inflation figures will reinforce the belief that the Fed only has one or two more interest-r...
PAUL ASHWORTH The report isn't so tame as to deter the Fed from bumping rates another notch, especially with Y2K f...
OSCAR GONZALEZ Markets are confident that the Fed will raise rates another 25 basis points at the Federal Open Mark...
ANN OWEN The policy will probably continue for another six months. By December, the rates may be raised to 0....
EISUKE SAKAKIBARA We are going for a flat market in aggregate for next year, with a bit of upside in the first quarter...
BEN FUNNELL We are going for a flat market in aggregate for next year, with a bit of upside in the first quarter...
BEN FUNNELL Those who expect further rate hikes can note that the real Fed Funds rate has yet to reach at least ...
ASHRAF LAIDI Now it looks like the Fed might raise rates at the January meeting, and that might be it.
ALFRED KUGEL In January I placed the likelihood of a Federal Reserve Rate hike in May at less than 10 percent. I ...
ERNIE GOSS Supply in this quarter will be bigger than usual, so it will have a bad effect on the market. It's d...
HIROYUKI YAMADA We are planning to buy Treasuries and the consumer price report reinforced our views that U.S. notes...
SATOSHI ASAI Yields are going to continue to trend upward as the Fed keeps raising rates. The Fed believes that t...
JOSEPH SHATZ I'm still in the camp that yields are moving higher. As long as the data is strong, the Fed is going...
JOSEPH SHATZ As long as the Fed keeps raising rates, yields are going to move higher. The Fed decision definitely...
JOSEPH SHATZ It shows growth for the U.S. economy but also points that the Fed will keep raising rates. Growth is...
EDWIN SLAGHEKKE The 1.9 percent December year-over-year rise in the core personal consumption expenditure index refl...
PATRICK FEARON Our view is that we get above-trend growth and that will cause the Fed to raise rates to 5 percent.
AMITABH ARORA It's difficult to argue against a stronger dollar. The Fed has clearly telegraphed it will continue ...
GAVIN FRIEND It (the jobless rate) is probably at or slightly below the level the Fed is thinking is full employm...
ELISABETH DENISON We got the Fed ease, and the stock market, while it's down, is not anything horrific. Some stocks ha...
GIB CLARK Strong figures on growth and inflation will reinforce expectations of higher Fed rates, supporting t...
XINYI LU The payrolls data resolves the big puzzle and the big worry over the U.S. outlook. It means the Fed ...
AZIZ MCMAHON These numbers tell you that the economy is humming right along through the holiday season. There wil...
JEFF GLADSTEIN There's increased speculation that the Fed will be cutting interest rates between meetings.
CHUCK CARLSON Growth will be sustained longer than expected. The Fed has more work to do; dollar strength will con...
DON ALEXANDER The market is speculating that the Fed may keep going. The interest rate in Canada right now lags be...
STEVE BUTLER We believe that such expectations are not based on fundamental analysis, but rather on the hope that...
ARIANE MAHLER At this juncture that (low long-term rate level) is not an overly worrisome thing, but if (Fed polic...
BRIAN WESBURY At this juncture that (low long-term rate level) is not an overly worrisome thing, but if (Fed polic...
BRIAN WESBURY The markets have probably been too quick to connect the dots from the current slew of good data stra...
LARA RHAME We expect a hike of 25 basis points and probably 50 basis pints, ... Any smaller rate hike or no rat...
CARL WEINBERG We expect a hike of 25 basis points and probably 50 basis pints. Any smaller rate hike or no rate hi...
CARL WEINBERG It shows that underlying inflation is still tame and only slowly edging up. That means the Fed can t...
JIM O'SULLIVAN Now market participants are saying that investors should expect range bound trading to continue into...
ANGUS CAMPBELL Longer-term rates will not rise dramatically as long as the Fed keeps the short-term policy rate at ...
DAVID KOTOK We think the Fed will keep going to 5 percent by May.
JUNYA TANASE The numbers are consistent with the view that the Fed raises rates again next week.
OMER ESINER You got a favorable surprise on the CPI. We had the first decline in the core rate in 21 years. It j...
CARY LEAHEY You got a favorable surprise on the CPI. We had the first decline in the core rate in 21 years, ... ...
CARY LEAHEY The move in the yen has spilled over on the perception the dollar will continue to gain as the Fed k...
CARSTEN FRITSCH Given the data we've seen, one can't rule out a 50 basis point (one-half percentage point) hike. We'...
BILL MEEHAN The Fed is close to the end of its rate hike cycle while the ECB is just beginning, which removes su...
CARSTEN FRITSCH The Fed has been on 'autopilot' with its monetary tightening so that even bouts of weaker data, such...
STEVE BARROW He's telling you the Fed's probably got more room to continue to hike, but inflation is not going to...
JAMES CARON The Fed wants everyone to know that rates are going nowhere and will not let facts get in the way,
JOEL NAROFF The market is worried that the Fed might continue to raise rates for longer than what was previously...
RICARDO AMORIM I am still a little bit bearish. The market thinks the U.S. economy is strong. Treasuries are still ...
HIROYUKI YAMADA I think the Fed needs to worry about the possibility it's flirting with deflation if it lets this go...
LYLE GRAMLEY It looks increasingly like the Fed rate hike cycle is coming to an end, and that's been the focus. ....
CHARMAINE BUSKAS Corporate leaders have indicated to the Fed that, right now, the outlook is murky. Long term, the Fe...
ALLEN JACOBSON I believe what we may see is a minor pullback due to a lack of fresh catalysts now that the Fed has ...
ANDRE BAKHOS The U.S. labor market continues to tighten and the implication is the Fed will need to raise rates. ...
GAVIN FRIEND A lot of the focus is on whether the Fed will pause or continue with their measured pace of raising ...
HUGH WALSH There are signs the Fed may stop raising rates so the $US may go down.
BENEDIKT GERMANIER My sense from just this brief analysis is we may avoid a rate hike in August. If you believe the eco...
GRACE FEY

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JOE MANDE After I hurt the knee, football wasn't nearly as much fun. I was limited. But you make do with w...
JOE NAMATH The promise of education reform can never be fulfilled without adequate funding, and by shortchangin...
JOE LIEBERMAN There's good art and there's bad art. A lot of action films are bad art, but Paul Greengrass...
JOE WRIGHT Maybe you could put it out there that I don't have a built-in dislike of ballads. That was kind ...
JOE PERRY The feeling of being accepted and acknowledgement and recognition and fame - I'm vain like every...
JOE JAMAIL Our workers comp debt is the Achilles heel of our state's economy, and I firmly believe that in ...
JOE MANCHIN Most liberals think of civil liberties as their Achilles heel. It isn't.
JOE BIDEN When we go to court, they are going to have to come up with all the evidence where they are accusing...
JOE ARPAIO One of the things I've never been accused of is not caring about people.
JOE BIDEN Don't hold against me that I don't own - that I don't own a single stock or bond. Don...
JOE BIDEN The issue in Web accessibility is the fact that blind and visually-impaired people need the single b...
JOE CLARK Head Start graduates are more likely to graduate from high school and less likely to need special ed...
JOE BACA The planet's spinning a thousand miles an hour around this gigantic nuclear explosion while thes...
JOE ROGAN I went through baseball as 'a player to be named later.'
JOE GARAGIOLA You always get a special kick on opening day, no matter how many you go through. You look forward to...
JOE DIMAGGIO