That's the problem with forecast modeling. It assumes current conditions and normal weather throughout the period. That can go out the window.

Brian Avery

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April can be a violent month.

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Much of the valley has been at or below freezing for the last three days.

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This will help. But one good year doesn't pull you out of a drought.

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Extreme warm temperatures early on and wet, heavy rains could change that. That's what usually causes flooding.

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February is a dry month anyway. It's typically the driest month. And this February was drier than most.

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