Much of the valley has been at or below freezing for the last three days.

April can be a violent month.

This will help. But one good year doesn't pull you out of a drought.

Extreme warm temperatures early on and wet, heavy rains could change that. That's what usually causes flooding.

That's the problem with forecast modeling. It assumes current conditions and normal weather throughout the period. That can go out the window.

February is a dry month anyway. It's typically the driest month. And this February was drier than most.