Fortunately for the president, it's the summer of '05. The critical time will be July of next year. They've got about a year to get the ball up the field a little bit. What that is, I don't know, but I suspect that involves stability, more local control, and starting to pull the troops out because they can, not because it's necessary for the US midterms.

Brad Coker

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The overall leads and sizes of the leads haven't changed all that much, which tells me that, other than real-interested, more-tuned-in voters, the large majority of voters haven't paid all that much attention.

There really is a legitimate up-for-grabs nature to the race. In neither case can you say that [Crist and Davis are] solid front-runners.

He can rally the faithful a little bit, but I don't know that he'll rally the middle ground people. People want to stand behind their country and government when they can, but I think they're just looking for something positive out of Iraq, and they're not getting it from the media.

Nevada was never Carter country back in the 1970s, and I just don't think Jack Carter has much of a chance, although you never completely dismiss anyone. Absent any fiasco by Ensign, Carter is going to have a tough time.

Unless it's over 50 percent, I'm always skeptical. It could pass. It could fail. You can't really make a call.