We're all guessing at this point, basically throwing darts at a number of possible scenarios.

If you're throwing darts at the wall, maybe.

We're not throwing darts at a dart board. There is a methodology that's been developed over the last 30 or 40 years.

Once you hit 20 (teams), 21 to 25 you might as well be throwing darts. You just have no idea.

Most areas of intellectual life have discovered the virtues of speculation, and have embraced them wildly. In academia, speculation is usually dignified as theory.

He did a good job of keeping his comments precise and on-point.