We are slipping back into a war situation. If the attacks go on, there will come a time when the army has to retaliate.

The bottom line is this -- for how long can the military remain restrained? That we are just around the corner from a major confrontation is not in doubt.

We are seeing a war already. It's an undeclared war. We are seeing the loss of two to three people a day.

This is not posturing. This is a very clear indication that Geneva is becoming very doubtful. The bottom line is that they are showing that they are strong and that they can take on the military.

The specter of war, at least until the 19th of April, seems to have gone away. Until then, the cease-fire is bound to hold. But while smiling at each other, both sides will continue making preparations for war.

The Tigers have built a much stronger military machine in the four years of the ceasefire. If the intensity of the war increases, there is no doubt they have developed a capability to strike in Colombo.