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Traders are coming in every morning with a bias to sell dollars. The market expects that irrespectiv...
MICHAEL JANSEN Sentiment is building that the Fed may pause for a while after raising rates to 5 percent next month...
HIDEHIKO MAEJIMA Given the uncertainty of the effect the hurricane may have on the economy, the Fed may take a pause ...
STUART THOMSON I don't think anyone expects any fireworks from the Fed tomorrow but it's normal to have a pause bef...
CHARLES PAYNE This good news broke expectations that the Fed will raise rates at its next meeting.
FABIO LARA A lot of the focus is on whether the Fed will pause or continue with their measured pace of raising ...
HUGH WALSH The big hurdles next week are the Fed meeting Tuesday and the jobs report Friday. The market reactio...
DONALD SELKIN He's been very clear. The Fed may take a pause for a month or two, but that doesn't mean it's the en...
ART HOGAN His statements have set up a pause at the June meeting after they move in May. That doesn't mean we ...
STUART HOFFMAN There is nothing at this point to suggest that Fed officials will pause.
CHRIS RUPKEY The market is still concerned about the interest rate and whether the Fed is on a possible pause.
IAN STANNARD I don't think the Fed are going to signal any kind of pause in rate increases next week. There's no ...
IAN GUNNER The consensus appears to be a likely pause in June as the Fed assesses the effects of past rate hike...
WILLIAM O'DONNELL The Fed is not finished yet in raising interest rates. Investors are still cautious on inflation and...
YOSHIHIRO ISHIDA The market is factoring in a higher probability of a pause now but it's absolutely too soon to tell,...
TOM HIGGINS The numbers confirm the perspective that the market has already priced in -- that the Fed will move ...
MARIA FIORINI RAMIREZ There's a point at which the Fed has to indicate that it has to pause and look around for a while, a...
DAVID KOTOK The idea that's been gaining currency in the market is the Fed pause theory, meaning that the Fed ra...
JOSH STILES What makes the difference is the data that comes out after the May 10 Fed meeting.
MATTHEW KASSEL If they didn't pause after Katrina, they are not going to pause in the next few months.
RICHARD YAMARONE There's now a possibility of a pause whereas last week I would have described the thought as lunacy....
CHRIS PROBYN There's now a possibility of a pause whereas last week I would have described the thought as lunacy....
CHRIS PROBYN It's Fed watch day, so we're experiencing a bit of anxiety before the announcement. Of course, any i...
PETER CARDILLO People have reacted to the idea that the Fed may not do anymore after the next move -- its possible ...
ADRIAN SCHMIDT I think the Fed knows that a pause at the upcoming meeting would upset the market by sending the mes...
JOHN FORELLI The reaction in the market has a lot to do with the perception that Katrina is a reason for the Fed ...
JANET ENGELS A pause by the Fed would give a temporary boost to stocks.
EDGAR PETERS I am still a little bit bearish. The market thinks the U.S. economy is strong. Treasuries are still ...
HIROYUKI YAMADA![]()
Regardless of whether this upcoming release shows inflation today, given the supply shock to oil, we...
BARRY RITHOLTZ I was in the camp that the Fed would pause, but there is nothing in anything any of the Fed members ...
JOE FRANCOMANO I don't think this report guarantees a pause, but it doesn't stand in the way of a pause if the Fed ...
ANTHONY CHAN Motorists might see prices stabilize over the next week or two, but that could only be a temporary p...
CAROL THORP The Fed is going to finish at about 5 percent, or certainly pause at 5 percent.
RICHARD GRACE You get the impression traders are putting an awful lot of weight on the Fed Chairman stating there ...
DON KOWALCHIK If the Fed doesn't at least hint that a pause could be on the way, I think that would surprise the m...
PETER CARDILLO Right after Katrina it looked like a no-brainer. Uncertainties about where things were going as a re...
CHARLES DUMAS There are some indicators suggesting a bit of a slowdown. That could cause the Fed to pause, ... The...
BRIAN STINE There are some indicators suggesting a bit of a slowdown. That could cause the Fed to pause. The key...
BRIAN STINE It takes pressure off the Fed to hike interest rates more dramatically [than a quarter point] in Aug...
CARY LEAHEY It takes pressure off the Fed to hike interest rates more dramatically [than a quarter point] in Aug...
CARY LEAHEY![]()
If the Fed were going to pause in response to Katrina, it probably would be in November and December...
MARK ZANDI We're starting to have a more positive scenario, where investors are resuming their bets that emergi...
EDUARDO COTRIM The green light is there for the Fed to continue to raising rates. No doubt about it. The Fed may go...
GERALD ZUKOWSKI![]()
It's almost like a lose-lose situation for stocks, because if the Fed pauses now, that could cause w...
JOHN HUGHES This is a view of the economy as we knew it; the world has changed a bit (since then). It's highly l...
JAMES GLASSMAN The markets were a little disappointed that the Fed didn't give any explicit hint that a pause is ar...
RORY ROBERTSON While the comments from Fed officials suggest they are close to finishing, the Fed may still have a ...
MICHAEL MALPEDE The Fed would only pause on the GM news if there were some indication that the news threatens the he...
CHRIS LOW I think what people will see is that commentary from Fed officials will sound almost identical to th...
ETHAN HARRIS Once the Fed signals its intentions or investors perceive that the end is near, stocks might rise st...
ERNIE ANKRIM My impression is that the market is correctly anticipating that the Fed is close to being finished w...
JASON TRENNERT There are signs the Fed may stop raising rates so the $US may go down.
BENEDIKT GERMANIER As the expectation is growing that the US Fed may end the rate hike cycle as early as its March meet...
DAISUKE UNO There may be some comments or text which will offer Fed views on the recent soft economic data and m...
MAMORU ASHIMOTO Next week's producer price index or consumer price index could tip the Fed in favor of a June hike i...
ANTHONY CHAN We should start to see better numbers in the May data. If we don't see improvement, it would be much...
HENRY WILLMORE The November minutes were taken as a sign of an impending pause and I don't think the Fed wants to g...
CHRIS PROBYN I think they are. I think that the Fed either finished its tightening for this cycle, or it has 25 b...
CHARLES CRANE It's just adding to the notion that the Fed is on the cusp of an imminent and extended pause. It's p...
JOSEPH LAVORGNA![]()
If the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ... in the afflicted Gulf region? At ...
BARRY RITHOLTZ![]()
When you stop and think about it, if the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ......
BARRY RITHOLTZ We're bullish on longer-term Treasuries because inflation is under control. We're not expecting any ...
MASAYUKI YOSHIHARA The employment numbers easily give the Fed reason to pause, but it doesn't necessarily mean they are...
ALAN BLINDER The Fed is toward the end of its rate hikes. Equities and bonds got a bid because the Fed talked abo...
JOSEPH LAVORGNA After the Fed comes out with its rate hike, and when it communicates to the market that it's satisfi...
ASHRAF LAIDI The whole psychology of the market has changed since the U.S. unemployment figures on Friday. All th...
JAMES SO Whether one agreed with him or not, for anyone who values the independence of the Fed, it is importa...
GILBERT METCALF I still think (the Fed) will cut 50 basis points next week.
BILL HORNBARGER There have been some expectations in the market that the Fed would perhaps do, instead of three hike...
BRIAN WILLIAMSON That's signaling that they may be moving toward a pause.
PHILIP WEE Our base case is that they (Fed) will go to five percent this quarter and then pause. There is a ris...
BILAL HAFEEZ Treasuries are expensive at these levels given that the Fed is still going to raise interest rates. ...
HIROYUKI YAMADA One who reacts in impulse, situations may get difficult. Calm people pause to think before saying or...
DR ANIL KUMAR SINHA Market expectations... for a pause in interest rate rises have retreated.
KOSUKE HANAO There is no sign of the economy slowing and that's bad for the Treasury market. We're not expecting ...
HIROKI SHIMAZU The numbers are consistent with the view that the Fed raises rates again next week.
OMER ESINER The inflation data we will see this week and next will support the view the Fed can keep on hiking a...
HIDEHIKO MAEJIMA I do think a pause is coming along at some point. My guess has been all along that a pause was more ...
LYLE GRAMLEY The market has somewhat anticipated a half-point rate increase next week, so if they can see signs t...
PETER CHANDLER There were rumors China may revalue its currency in March. Based on that rumor, people are assuming ...
FRANK HSU Another interest rate hike in March is a 'done deal' among market participants and a pause is likely...
MASAMICHI KOIKE This is not something that Fed officials want to see, and there may be a serious discussion within t...
JEFF THREDGOLD The Fed has been on 'autopilot' with its monetary tightening so that even bouts of weaker data, such...
STEVE BARROW We now believe that the first Fed rate hike will not come until December, and we continue to worry t...
JOE ABATE I think that until we get further indication, probably in the next Fed meeting, of where the Fed is ...
ANDREW BARRETT There is a question of steady increases or taking a pause. I think this data supports a pause, but w...
STEVE GALLAGHER There is a question of steady increases or taking a pause. I think this data supports a pause, but w...
STEVE GALLAGHER Markets are confident that the Fed will raise rates another 25 basis points at the Federal Open Mark...
ANN OWEN Given the data we've seen, one can't rule out a 50 basis point (one-half percentage point) hike. We'...
BILL MEEHAN There are some people who would like to see the Fed raise by a half-percentage point when it meets n...
BRIAN BENSCH [Friday's report] probably reduces the odds of the Fed making another move [at its next meeting]. Th...
BILL CHENEY The expectations a few weeks ago were again for the Fed to raise rates at this meeting. Now that's a...
BILL KIRBY We believe that the US Fed will make its final rate hike in the current cycle at the Jan 31 FOMC mee...
DAISUKE UNO The market is going to sort of tread water until we hear the results of the (Fed) meeting and what t...
DAVID JOY I don't think the Fed will surprise the market but it will see if there are any hints available from...
MASAMICHI KOIKE I think the question the market is struggling with is whether we are concerned about inflation and t...
KEN TOWER As for the Fed, we look for 50 (basis points, a half-percentage point) next week.
IAN SHEPHERDSON There's a good chance the Fed will raise tomorrow and change their language to indicate rates are on...
JOHN MASKELL Investors are focusing on the new home sales figures after housing starts were so strong. Strong num...
MICHIYOSHI KATO Now market participants are saying that investors should expect range bound trading to continue into...
ANGUS CAMPBELL
MICHAEL JANSEN Sentiment is building that the Fed may pause for a while after raising rates to 5 percent next month...
HIDEHIKO MAEJIMA Given the uncertainty of the effect the hurricane may have on the economy, the Fed may take a pause ...
STUART THOMSON I don't think anyone expects any fireworks from the Fed tomorrow but it's normal to have a pause bef...
CHARLES PAYNE This good news broke expectations that the Fed will raise rates at its next meeting.
FABIO LARA A lot of the focus is on whether the Fed will pause or continue with their measured pace of raising ...
HUGH WALSH The big hurdles next week are the Fed meeting Tuesday and the jobs report Friday. The market reactio...
DONALD SELKIN He's been very clear. The Fed may take a pause for a month or two, but that doesn't mean it's the en...
ART HOGAN His statements have set up a pause at the June meeting after they move in May. That doesn't mean we ...
STUART HOFFMAN There is nothing at this point to suggest that Fed officials will pause.
CHRIS RUPKEY The market is still concerned about the interest rate and whether the Fed is on a possible pause.
IAN STANNARD I don't think the Fed are going to signal any kind of pause in rate increases next week. There's no ...
IAN GUNNER The consensus appears to be a likely pause in June as the Fed assesses the effects of past rate hike...
WILLIAM O'DONNELL The Fed is not finished yet in raising interest rates. Investors are still cautious on inflation and...
YOSHIHIRO ISHIDA The market is factoring in a higher probability of a pause now but it's absolutely too soon to tell,...
TOM HIGGINS The numbers confirm the perspective that the market has already priced in -- that the Fed will move ...
MARIA FIORINI RAMIREZ There's a point at which the Fed has to indicate that it has to pause and look around for a while, a...
DAVID KOTOK The idea that's been gaining currency in the market is the Fed pause theory, meaning that the Fed ra...
JOSH STILES What makes the difference is the data that comes out after the May 10 Fed meeting.
MATTHEW KASSEL If they didn't pause after Katrina, they are not going to pause in the next few months.
RICHARD YAMARONE There's now a possibility of a pause whereas last week I would have described the thought as lunacy....
CHRIS PROBYN There's now a possibility of a pause whereas last week I would have described the thought as lunacy....
CHRIS PROBYN It's Fed watch day, so we're experiencing a bit of anxiety before the announcement. Of course, any i...
PETER CARDILLO People have reacted to the idea that the Fed may not do anymore after the next move -- its possible ...
ADRIAN SCHMIDT I think the Fed knows that a pause at the upcoming meeting would upset the market by sending the mes...
JOHN FORELLI The reaction in the market has a lot to do with the perception that Katrina is a reason for the Fed ...
JANET ENGELS A pause by the Fed would give a temporary boost to stocks.
EDGAR PETERS I am still a little bit bearish. The market thinks the U.S. economy is strong. Treasuries are still ...
HIROYUKI YAMADA
Regardless of whether this upcoming release shows inflation today, given the supply shock to oil, we... BARRY RITHOLTZ I was in the camp that the Fed would pause, but there is nothing in anything any of the Fed members ...
JOE FRANCOMANO I don't think this report guarantees a pause, but it doesn't stand in the way of a pause if the Fed ...
ANTHONY CHAN Motorists might see prices stabilize over the next week or two, but that could only be a temporary p...
CAROL THORP The Fed is going to finish at about 5 percent, or certainly pause at 5 percent.
RICHARD GRACE You get the impression traders are putting an awful lot of weight on the Fed Chairman stating there ...
DON KOWALCHIK If the Fed doesn't at least hint that a pause could be on the way, I think that would surprise the m...
PETER CARDILLO Right after Katrina it looked like a no-brainer. Uncertainties about where things were going as a re...
CHARLES DUMAS There are some indicators suggesting a bit of a slowdown. That could cause the Fed to pause, ... The...
BRIAN STINE There are some indicators suggesting a bit of a slowdown. That could cause the Fed to pause. The key...
BRIAN STINE It takes pressure off the Fed to hike interest rates more dramatically [than a quarter point] in Aug...
CARY LEAHEY It takes pressure off the Fed to hike interest rates more dramatically [than a quarter point] in Aug...
CARY LEAHEY
If the Fed were going to pause in response to Katrina, it probably would be in November and December... MARK ZANDI We're starting to have a more positive scenario, where investors are resuming their bets that emergi...
EDUARDO COTRIM The green light is there for the Fed to continue to raising rates. No doubt about it. The Fed may go...
GERALD ZUKOWSKI
It's almost like a lose-lose situation for stocks, because if the Fed pauses now, that could cause w... JOHN HUGHES This is a view of the economy as we knew it; the world has changed a bit (since then). It's highly l...
JAMES GLASSMAN The markets were a little disappointed that the Fed didn't give any explicit hint that a pause is ar...
RORY ROBERTSON While the comments from Fed officials suggest they are close to finishing, the Fed may still have a ...
MICHAEL MALPEDE The Fed would only pause on the GM news if there were some indication that the news threatens the he...
CHRIS LOW I think what people will see is that commentary from Fed officials will sound almost identical to th...
ETHAN HARRIS Once the Fed signals its intentions or investors perceive that the end is near, stocks might rise st...
ERNIE ANKRIM My impression is that the market is correctly anticipating that the Fed is close to being finished w...
JASON TRENNERT There are signs the Fed may stop raising rates so the $US may go down.
BENEDIKT GERMANIER As the expectation is growing that the US Fed may end the rate hike cycle as early as its March meet...
DAISUKE UNO There may be some comments or text which will offer Fed views on the recent soft economic data and m...
MAMORU ASHIMOTO Next week's producer price index or consumer price index could tip the Fed in favor of a June hike i...
ANTHONY CHAN We should start to see better numbers in the May data. If we don't see improvement, it would be much...
HENRY WILLMORE The November minutes were taken as a sign of an impending pause and I don't think the Fed wants to g...
CHRIS PROBYN I think they are. I think that the Fed either finished its tightening for this cycle, or it has 25 b...
CHARLES CRANE It's just adding to the notion that the Fed is on the cusp of an imminent and extended pause. It's p...
JOSEPH LAVORGNA
If the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ... in the afflicted Gulf region? At ... BARRY RITHOLTZ
When you stop and think about it, if the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ...... BARRY RITHOLTZ We're bullish on longer-term Treasuries because inflation is under control. We're not expecting any ...
MASAYUKI YOSHIHARA The employment numbers easily give the Fed reason to pause, but it doesn't necessarily mean they are...
ALAN BLINDER The Fed is toward the end of its rate hikes. Equities and bonds got a bid because the Fed talked abo...
JOSEPH LAVORGNA After the Fed comes out with its rate hike, and when it communicates to the market that it's satisfi...
ASHRAF LAIDI The whole psychology of the market has changed since the U.S. unemployment figures on Friday. All th...
JAMES SO Whether one agreed with him or not, for anyone who values the independence of the Fed, it is importa...
GILBERT METCALF I still think (the Fed) will cut 50 basis points next week.
BILL HORNBARGER There have been some expectations in the market that the Fed would perhaps do, instead of three hike...
BRIAN WILLIAMSON That's signaling that they may be moving toward a pause.
PHILIP WEE Our base case is that they (Fed) will go to five percent this quarter and then pause. There is a ris...
BILAL HAFEEZ Treasuries are expensive at these levels given that the Fed is still going to raise interest rates. ...
HIROYUKI YAMADA One who reacts in impulse, situations may get difficult. Calm people pause to think before saying or...
DR ANIL KUMAR SINHA Market expectations... for a pause in interest rate rises have retreated.
KOSUKE HANAO There is no sign of the economy slowing and that's bad for the Treasury market. We're not expecting ...
HIROKI SHIMAZU The numbers are consistent with the view that the Fed raises rates again next week.
OMER ESINER The inflation data we will see this week and next will support the view the Fed can keep on hiking a...
HIDEHIKO MAEJIMA I do think a pause is coming along at some point. My guess has been all along that a pause was more ...
LYLE GRAMLEY The market has somewhat anticipated a half-point rate increase next week, so if they can see signs t...
PETER CHANDLER There were rumors China may revalue its currency in March. Based on that rumor, people are assuming ...
FRANK HSU Another interest rate hike in March is a 'done deal' among market participants and a pause is likely...
MASAMICHI KOIKE This is not something that Fed officials want to see, and there may be a serious discussion within t...
JEFF THREDGOLD The Fed has been on 'autopilot' with its monetary tightening so that even bouts of weaker data, such...
STEVE BARROW We now believe that the first Fed rate hike will not come until December, and we continue to worry t...
JOE ABATE I think that until we get further indication, probably in the next Fed meeting, of where the Fed is ...
ANDREW BARRETT There is a question of steady increases or taking a pause. I think this data supports a pause, but w...
STEVE GALLAGHER There is a question of steady increases or taking a pause. I think this data supports a pause, but w...
STEVE GALLAGHER Markets are confident that the Fed will raise rates another 25 basis points at the Federal Open Mark...
ANN OWEN Given the data we've seen, one can't rule out a 50 basis point (one-half percentage point) hike. We'...
BILL MEEHAN There are some people who would like to see the Fed raise by a half-percentage point when it meets n...
BRIAN BENSCH [Friday's report] probably reduces the odds of the Fed making another move [at its next meeting]. Th...
BILL CHENEY The expectations a few weeks ago were again for the Fed to raise rates at this meeting. Now that's a...
BILL KIRBY We believe that the US Fed will make its final rate hike in the current cycle at the Jan 31 FOMC mee...
DAISUKE UNO The market is going to sort of tread water until we hear the results of the (Fed) meeting and what t...
DAVID JOY I don't think the Fed will surprise the market but it will see if there are any hints available from...
MASAMICHI KOIKE I think the question the market is struggling with is whether we are concerned about inflation and t...
KEN TOWER As for the Fed, we look for 50 (basis points, a half-percentage point) next week.
IAN SHEPHERDSON There's a good chance the Fed will raise tomorrow and change their language to indicate rates are on...
JOHN MASKELL Investors are focusing on the new home sales figures after housing starts were so strong. Strong num...
MICHIYOSHI KATO Now market participants are saying that investors should expect range bound trading to continue into...
ANGUS CAMPBELL
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