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The trade surplus figures showed strong exports and domestic demand. This shows the economy is robust enough to withstand a rate increase later this year, supporting the yen.
Tomoko Fujii
Economy
Trade
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The BOJ is expected to end its so-called quantitative easing policy of flooding the economy with cash by the end of April. That will put upward pressure on short- term interest rates and reduce liquidity in the money markets, which is yen positive for sure.
— Tomoko Fujii
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Mr. Koizumi remains willing to pursue structural reforms, so long as the economy permits. He's not going to abandon reforms. However, realistically it's also difficult to assume very quick progress.
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He's likely to make more bullish comments on the economy and deflation. That will put upward pressure on short-term interest rates, which is yen positive.
— Tomoko Fujii
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Good economic figures will surely be euro supportive. The euro-zone economy is expanding faster than expected.
— Tomoko Fujii
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The markets have already priced in at least one rate hike and are beginning to price in the second rate hike by year-end. Combined with the steady recovery of the Japanese economy, those expectations are likely to push up the yen.
— Tomoko Fujii
Beginning
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