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The increase of delinquencies is not surprising. We have been expecting an up-tick in delinquencies due to a number of factors.

Doug Duncan

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We expect to see a modest rise in delinquencies in the quarters ahead.
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The historical low delinquency rate was 3.9 percent in the late 1970s, while the historical high for delinquencies was 6.07 percent [in 1985]. Right now it's right in the middle between the all-time low and the all-time high, and we're just coming out of a recession.
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The effects of Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana and Mississippi are reflected in the overall level of national delinquencies.
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We are not expecting the trend to significantly weaken from that, but expect that moderating number to be more like what we expect for next year.
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It would probably increase the number of deer killed, but I'm not sure I'm for or against it.
— Ron James
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