The Fed will want several months to confirm that inflation risks have shifted lower and there are subtle phrases that suggest they're not really believers. Take core [personal consumption expenditure inflation] down to 1.5% and they'll sing a louder tune.
David Ader
Related The 1.9 percent December year-over-year rise in the core personal consumption expenditure index refl... PATRICK FEARON Whether you look at the core personal consumption expenditure index on a monthly basis or a year ove... PATRICK FEARON We got some good news from core inflation but it's perceived to be temporary, so we're back to focus... ANN HURLEY While there is no room for complacency, the Fed can take comfort in the fact that core inflation rem... PATRICK NEWPORT Higher inflation will mean weaker consumer demand and that will keep core inflation under control. JACQUES CAILLOUX What is most reassuring is that core inflation continued to come down and is very well behaved. I th... ALONSO CERVERA There are risks that inflation could heat up at bit and therefore the risk that the Fed might have t... EDWARD KEON The Fed sounded optimistic about growth, but its view that the risks of inflation and inflation expe... JAMES CARON This time, we're starting with an inflation rate that's too low and heading lower, ... What that mea... LYLE GRAMLEY Moreover, the four motors of consumption -- that is wages, inflation, unemployment and consumer conf... EMMANUEL FERRY The maintaining of the rate reflects that there is not a dangerous core inflation pressure, while th... JOSEPH RAMOS Over the past year, core intermediate goods inflation has been nearly 5 percentage points higher tha... BILL DUDLEY As far as the Fed goes, it really isn't inflation on the ground that's a concern, it's inflation dow... MICHAEL GREGORY The Fed is likely to make no change in its rate policy because it still see risks in the economic ou... RICHARD RIPPE The Fed will be concerned about inflation pressures building and will keep on hiking interest rates.... INDRAJIT ADVANI The market reacted positively to the lower than expected inflation figures. That means inflation is ... LUC GIRARD Broaddus just reminded everyone that the Fed is going to raise rates. He is clear that the inflation... DOMINIC KONSTAM Bearing in mind that the Fed wants higher inflation, the news is not unwelcome. And the market will ... SHERRY COOPER We have a lot of cross currents right now and so it's very difficult for investors to pick out the p... ALFRED KUGEL They probably will not explicitly (address it.) But there are several ways in which they can bring t... CAROLYN KWAN The prospects for a rate cut have certainly increased. You have weaker inflation and in addition the... GEORGE BUCKLEY You got a favorable surprise on the CPI. We had the first decline in the core rate in 21 years. It j... CARY LEAHEY You got a favorable surprise on the CPI. We had the first decline in the core rate in 21 years, ... ... CARY LEAHEY It is a foregone conclusion that there is no threat of inflation ... the question is not when the Fe... PHILIP BRAVERMAN Rising oil prices are not only affecting current inflation rates but they're also overshadowing next... OTMAR ISSING Our own belief remains that while core inflation could well inch up in the coming months, it is unli... JOSHUA SHAPIRO We still do not look for the core CPI to accelerate rapidly, but it is likely to be persistently fir... STEPHEN STANLEY Models used to describe and predict inflation commonly distinguish between changes in food and energ... JANET YELLEN What we are seeing is a continuation of the relief that the Fed will fight inflation, but will do so... CHARLES REINHARD The core is up 0.3 percent over the last year, and so there really is no inflation, ... In the first... GERALD COHEN Inflation for August was 0.1 per cent a welcome reduction from the previous months. While increases... COLIN STEELE Lowering inflation to 3-4% annually should be a priority, a major instrument of economic policy, and... ALEXEI KUDRIN The risks of inflation are coming down, but we have to look at the new (economic) information since ... ERNST WELTEKE The bond market took this report as a sign that core inflation may be bottoming and the Fed may stil... CARY LEAHEY The bond market took this report as a sign that core inflation may be bottoming and the Fed may stil... CARY LEAHEY Because food and energy prices are volatile, it is often helpful to look at inflation excluding thos... JANET YELLEN They're not done and it's clear to me that these guys really are worried about an inflation bulge. Y... JAMES SWANSON We believe that the Fed will require both consistent solid hiring and a rise in inflation before it ... MAURY HARRIS There's the realization that there's real inflation in the U.S., and not just the kind of head-in-th... FRANK MCGHEE Unless you see substantially weaker growth and low core inflation, if energy prices remain high and ... BILL MEEHAN Core prices are at a little higher pace than the Fed is comfortable with, but they're certainly not ... GINA MARTIN We expect the combination of solid economic growth and higher inflation risks to push the Fed to rai... COLIN LUNDGREN The implication is that the economy is strengthening, but that inflation is not substantial, and the... GARY WOLFER Regardless of whether this upcoming release shows inflation today, given the supply shock to oil, we... BARRY RITHOLTZ Inflation has boxed the Fed in, they are going to have to keep moving rates up. MICHAEL DARDA The government will always tell you that it wants low inflation. The real issue is the horizon over ... RAGHURAM RAJAN Unemployment is sufficiently high, and the economy has just come out of a relatively mild recession,... CHARLES LIEBERMAN The data should tend to encourage views that the Fed is correct and that inflation looks to be conta... ALAN RUSKIN The decline by the PPI overall and the dip by the core PPI is very much consistent with the general ... JOHN LONSKI The decline by the PPI overall and the dip by the core PPI is very much consistent with the general ... JOHN LONSKI If global oil prices or commodity prices are high, then it is bound to create inflation. So, we shou... ADI GODREJ The Fed is saying that they're willing to keep the experiment of strong growth without inflation goi... ADAM BLANKMAN We see high growth with very low inflation. These aren't mutually exclusive. You have to remember th... MATTHEW ALEXY Fed participation in foreign exchange intervention ... risks creating doubt over whether monetary po... ALFRED BROADDUS The debate over inflation versus growth will linger on because it is true that there is a short-term... IRAJ ABEDIAN We are planning to buy Treasuries and the consumer price report reinforced our views that U.S. notes... SATOSHI ASAI I like to open for a band as it brings on sort of a challenge and it makes things more interesting. ... KELLY JONES You have to be positive on 10-year bonds when you expect lower inflation. I don't expect the Bank of... ERIC GIRARD Inflation for August was 0.1 per cent a welcome reduction from the previous months. While incr... COLIN STEELE These are the kinds of things that raise eyebrows at the Fed. The implication that this January repo... CARY LEAHEY [They also focus on two areas - healthcare and energy - where inflation is eating away at spending p... JARED BERNSTEIN The Fed is not finished yet in raising interest rates. Investors are still cautious on inflation and... YOSHIHIRO ISHIDA Our efforts to reduce inflation are working; inflation here has now converged to euro area norms. Th... BRIAN COWEN When growth is slower-than-expected, stocks go down. When inflation is higher-than-expected, bonds g... RAY DALIO When you are growing at a rapid rate, there is bound to be some inflation. I think a 5% rate of infl... ADI GODREJ Treasuries are expensive at these levels given that the Fed is still going to raise interest rates. ... HIROYUKI YAMADA This is a dispute that should never have happened. This is an irrational one. These pilots are the b... JACQUES KAVAFIAN If they were to cut rates, it might endorse the view that the Fed believes inflation is not a proble... JEFF CHEAH The underlying theme (in the Fed's statement) is the same but the Fed added the statement on the pot... JOHN LONSKI Strong employment keeps alive the risks to wage inflation and the central bank's concerns. MICHAEL BLYTHE There is so much momentum in consumer spending and business investment that economic growth in the t... DICK GREEN I think that fears of inflation are overblown, and that when we consider energy prices have pulled b... EDWARD KEON Up until recently, oil price hikes have offset disinflation. This time around, we're in a situation ... ALAN RUSKIN Up until recently, oil price hikes have offset disinflation. This time around, we're in a situation ... ALAN RUSKIN With few signs that consumer prices are about to break to the upside ... along with signs that aggre... ETHAN HARRIS There really isn't anything in this report that suggests that inflation numbers are going to turn fo... JAMES BIANCO We will ensure that, even in an environment of rising inflationary risks, the ECB will make an impor... AXEL WEBER The outlook for inflation seems very positive to me for some time to come, and therefore, I doubt th... ROBERT MCTEER I see more interest rate hikes and this will dampen domestic consumption. Also, the coming 50 percen... IRENE CHEUNG Today's inflation figures will reinforce the belief that the Fed only has one or two more interest-r... PAUL ASHWORTH It is understandable that a new Fed chairman would want to prove his inflation-fighting mettle right... DAVID JONES There will be an upside surprise in inflation, and we still think the Fed has still got some work to... ANTHONY O'BRIEN Going forward, it is expected that productivity improvements and restraint in upward administered pr... BALEDZI GAOLATHE Decreasing the refinancing rate would make credit more affordable. But analysts' forecasts, which ta... ALLA TRUBNIKOVA The public has shown confidence that any increases in inflation will be temporary and that, in the l... BEN BERNANKE Given the absence of core inflation, it seems to me as good a time as any to pause and see what's ha... BILL CHENEY Every time the Fed implements 'quantitative easing,' a.k.a. printing more money, two things ... ROBERT KIYOSAKI We expect that things are going to slow down, and that slowdown is going to be evident in two ways. ... STEVE ALLEN Core inflation was the good news in the report. That calmed the financial markets. HASEEB AHMED This economy has a lot of momentum and seems intent on challenging the Fed to keep in under control.... CARL TANNENBAUM Investors have warmed to the idea that there is an inflation issue and are pricing in a greater degr... MICHAEL DALEY Really, everything you can point to is showing that you have inflation in check. Inflation is less o... GREGG HYMOWITZ Today's inflation figures have boosted the dollar across the board on accumulating chances that the ... ASHRAF LAIDI A curve inversion will last until the Fed stops tightening. As long is the Fed keeps tightening and ... JAMES CARON Inflation is the worst critical factor as a negative to the stock market. So once that inflation fea... ROBERT ROBBINS Strong figures on growth and inflation will reinforce expectations of higher Fed rates, supporting t... XINYI LU In light of the current economic and monetary development, inflation risks still exist. AXEL WEBER They've been wanting to tackle upside risks to inflation for a long time and now they're seizing the... ADOLF ROSENSTOCK It's a question of relative risks and Bollard is more mindful of inflation. He will be comfortable w... CAMERON BAGRIE I'm concerned that we will get higher inflation expectations, but that in actuality, inflation will ... GARY POLLACK
More David Ader
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