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Markets work best when there's lots of information available and a historical track record to go on; they excel at predicting things like horse races, election outcomes, and box-office results. But they're bad at predicting things like who will be the next Supreme Court nominee, as that depends on the whim of the president.


James Surowiecki

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KELLY JONES The track record of economists in predicting events is monstrously bad. It is beyond simplification;...
NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB The best merchants in the world aren't the ones predicting what's cool next; we're the o...
KEVIN PLANK We won this election for the President, and we deserve to have the next Supreme Court nominee, we de...
CHRISTINE TODD WHITMAN I guess they're tough jokes. But there's lots of things you either laugh or cry at. And you ...
SAM KINISON It's funny - some producers ask me, 'Man, how do you work on a Bieber record? That would kil...
DIPLO We are not very good at looking at people when they are 16 and predicting what they will be like whe...
LAURENCE STEINBERG You know, the best-laid plans of mice and men... I like playing bad guys, and I don't have a pro...
TOBIN BELL We will win an election when all the seats in the House and Senate and the chair behind the desk in ...
P. J. O'ROURKE I work best inundated with things, when it's like raining information.
RYAN SEACREST The Oval Office symbolizes... the Constitution, the hopes and dreams, and I'm going to say democ...
ANDREW CARD In our system, at about 11:30 on election night, they just push you off the edge of the cliff-and th...
WALTER F. MONDALE Genes work with probabilities; they don't work with certainties. So most things that you're ...
SAM KEAN It's such a pleasant surprise when you come on set and you find someone in charge like Ken Brana...
ANTHONY HOPKINS The effectiveness of advertising depends on the amount and kind of product information available to ...
MICHAEL SCHUDSON Actors are the best and the worst of people. They're like kids. When they're good, they'...
KENNETH BRANAGH It's like these ideas, these characters, kind of bubble up inside me, and one day they're no...
GEORGE R. R. MARTIN President Obama clearly cannot run on his record. All he's offering is more of the same. That...
PAUL RYAN Of course it's difficult to top a box office success like Emmanuelle, so it will always be my mo...
SYLVIA KRISTEL Because of things like iTunes and streaming and social networking, it's destroyed music. It'...
KIRK HAMMETT I always read about these stories of entrepreneurs - it's like they're in the desert with no...
BEN SILBERMANN I think voters want somebody who understands their problems. You're right that they don't ex...
GAIL COLLINS We shouldn't all be fixated just on what's not available. We should take a step back and loo...
TIM COOK When I did '1,2,3,4' on 'Sesame Street' they'd rewritten the song and made it ab...
FEIST I've always looked at filmmaking as a lifestyle. There is no decision of when you go to work. It...
BALTASAR KORMAKUR There are a handful of legacy clubs like the Dodgers in each league. They're in major markets an...
DAVE CHECKETTS There's a sort of sibling moratorium when you're establishing yourself as an adult. So much ...
JEFFREY KLUGER When you're little, you're open to things. It's not like you get into this rehearsed zon...
KIRSTEN DUNST Corporations are like countries now, there's a king, there are serfs, there's a court, basic...
TONY GILROY This world is run by people who know how to do things. They know how things work. They are equipped....
DORIS LESSING There is nothing like a live performance. You can look at things on television, and you can look at ...
LONI LOVE I find it quite boring when people do things that are very considered and thought through. I like th...
EDIE CAMPBELL I come back to the same thing: We've got the greatest pipeline in the company's history in t...
STEVE BALLMER My wife, Lisa, and I both grew up on wuxia - Chinese historical romances. They're kind of analog...
KEN LIU Practise things you're good at. Keep on top of things you're not so good at, but be world-cl...
BRIAN O'DRISCOLL L.A. is so much about ratings and box office; that defines everything. And here, of course it's ...
DYLAN WALSH I go to Topman at lunchtime and stare at these beautiful, beautiful people who work there and who ar...
NICHOLAS HASLAM When we believe the best of people, we let go of each thing they do that is hurtful to us. And we ch...
JOYCE MEYER I've probably had my best time acting - or not acting, or trying to not act - on things like ...
AIDAN GILLEN When you're doing a job, you go out there and do it to the best of your ability and you don'...
MICHELLE FAIRLEY I think, like any artist, those baby songs are not the best things you've ever written, but they...
RACHEL PLATTEN Family quarrels are bitter things. They don't go according to any rules. They're not like ac...
F. SCOTT FITZGERALD I don't like to say bad things about paleontologists, but they're not very good scientists. ...
LUIS WALTER ALVAREZ Republicans are relentless and they're smart, too - they're not all dumb - and on Election D...
MICHAEL MOORE Things are bad in 2001 at Yahoo. There's been layoffs, restructuring, lots of people left.
DAVE GOLDBERG You know, when people look at a tree, they look at the leaves; they don't look at the spaces bet...
KEITH JARRETT Very few people do bad things because they're bad. They generally do bad things because they thi...
PAUL GREENGRASS You're allowed to make things for women on television and there's not like... you don't ...
CALLIE KHOURI There's a lot that's wrong with the way we work - bad habits that develop around control of ...
STEWART BUTTERFIELD I liked myths. They weren't adult stories and they weren't children's stories. They were better than...
NEIL GAIMAN A lot of people like to do certain things, but they're not that good at it. Keep going through t...
GEORGE LUCAS What I do onstage, there's maybe .0001 percent of the population that acts like that. I talk lik...
LARRY THE CABLE GUY In 1987, I had my first opportunity to provide 'advice and consent' on a Supreme Court nomin...
JOHN MCCAIN I think that when we're looking at things when we're right in the center of things, as oppos...
JENNY OFFILL We have this idea of bureaucracy in local government, and it's generally things that we're f...
JENNIFER PAHLKA They're sheep. They like Bush enough to credit him with saving the nation after 9/11. Three thou...
ED ASNER You can't learn to write in college. It's a very bad place for writers because the teachers ...
RAY BRADBURY There are a lot of wonderful people in America who shouldn't be on the Supreme Court - and a lot...
DAVID FRUM When people realize they're being heard, and have a seat at the table, things seem to work out.
ROBIN HAYES I'll find you, don't worry. My body won't be with you all the time, but you'll always have my heart....
P.C. CAST Lots of people fantasize about what it would be like if they were president... Most think they'd...
KEVIN KLINE There are lots of things I am not good at. I'm not that good a singer. And I'm a good dad bu...
MAGNUS SCHEVING They still have negligent auditing, they still have things going for a walk, and they have no idea w...
EDWARD SNOWDEN There's a lot of work to be done if you're going to run for president or if you're going...
MARCO RUBIO It is a president's constitutional right to nominate a Supreme Court justice, and it is the Sena...
MITCH MCCONNELL I like people who are enthused about things they do, like travel, sports, work. I like being with pe...
PARKER STEVENSON Pilots, to a large degree, are like salesmen. They have to be confident to be good at their jobs. Th...
SIMON SINEK There are lots of things to like about being Eastern Orthodox - incense, liturgies, all the baklava ...
FREDERICA MATHEWES-GREEN I think that's my personality, to have a good laugh and not to take myself too seriously. And of...
CAROLINE WOZNIACKI It's good to get your hands dirty a bit and to test how you see things at a given point. And it&...
IAN MCEWAN Me being so open just helps other people. People feel like they know me so much that they can talk t...
KEHLANI I think we were kind of aggravated at the way bands only write titles that will fit inside DJs' mout...
PETE WENTZ You can wish as hard as you like but all that really matters is the shape you're in on the day o...
PAULA RADCLIFFE These things don't just come, arrive and settle like a bird picking up a few bits of crumbs. The...
PATRICK MACNEE Some of the onus falls on us to make ourselves available for the ball, because we need to play insid...
STEVEN HILL Ottolenghi sells lots of delicious sweet things, but my daily addiction is their unbelievable dark c...
TRINNY WOODALL Some of my fans don't really like it when I respond to people who say things that are trying to ...
RICKIE FOWLER I'm into the law of attraction and quantum physics. Like cosmic ordering. It's all about thi...
JULIA SAWALHA James, that's a bad situation. I'm not saying it's not repairable, but it's pretty f...
BILLY CORGAN One of the things that's interesting to me is I find things like caffeine and stunts actually re...
NICOLAS CAGE Psychics prey on the vulnerable of society. They look like they're contacting the other side, bu...
KEITH BARRY There are things you do that just come natural, and sometimes those are amazingly in synch, and some...
TOMMY LEE We repress the things we're scared of, but if we just look at and embrace the things we're s...
GARY ROSS I'm sure that President Trump will do plenty of things that people don't like, plenty of thi...
D. B. SWEENEY At this point I've got a bit of a track record. So people realize that when 'Weird Al' w...
AL YANKOVIC I think that women are powerful and they're multifaceted and they're survivors; they don'...
RASHIDA JONES So if you're on the motorcycle, on the track you're not thinking at all about what's hap...
DAX SHEPARD Now, President Obama has to make a decision. He can either propose a nominee who can win over the ma...
CORY GARDNER I am not predicting here that Obama will fail like Jimmy Carter. What I am predicting is the Republi...
ED ROLLINS Our censorship has sort of gotten a little too far. Too much censorship is just as bad as having non...
ZOE SALDANA I'm a firm believer that in the theory that people only do their best at things they truly enjoy...
JACK NICKLAUS My family quite innocently don't understand the ins and outs of it all, but they see things like...
JAMES BAY I'm very good at delegating - people work much better when they have a real sense of responsibil...
ANNA WINTOUR In fact, their eyes sort of roll around and they kind of go, 'Hmm'- like there's somethi...
DWIGHT SCHULTZ They work in secrecy. I can't get any information. You can't find out anything until they ge...
JOHN WILLIAM MCCORMACK I don't like to sing things that just sound like they're going straight down the tubes, and ...
JAKOB DYLAN I'm all about the crossover. The role doesn't necessarily have to be white or Latina or blac...
RUTINA WESLEY I actually had someone say to me, 'Lynn, you're going to have very good days, and you're...
LYNN GOOD I am a pet person. My dog actually lives in Georgia now. But I work with animal trainers and pets qu...
ALYSON STONER

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LEBRON JAMES There is a lot of pressure put on me, but I don't put a lot of pressure on myself. I feel if I p...
LEBRON JAMES I'm confident with my ability.
LEBRON JAMES Where I grew up - I grew up on the north side of Akron, lived in the projects. So those scared and l...
LEBRON JAMES But now, being a parent, I go home and see my son and I forget about any mistake I ever made or the ...
LEBRON JAMES There are some teams and logos you see, no matter where you are in the world, and you know exactly w...
LEBRON JAMES Warren Buffet told me once and he said always follow your gut. When you have that gut feeling, you h...
LEBRON JAMES Every night on the court I give my all, and if I'm not giving 100 percent, I criticize myself.
LEBRON JAMES When you have that respect from your teammates, it makes it a lot more comfortable.
LEBRON JAMES I think, team first. It allows me to succeed, it allows my team to succeed.
LEBRON JAMES I'm going to use all my tools, my God-given ability, and make the best life I can with it.
LEBRON JAMES Last year, I was on Threat Matrix. We were on Thursday against Friends and Survivor; so this year it...
JAMES DENTON There's nothing wrong with falling in love and sharing your life with someone.
LILY JAMES Being on a boat that's moving through the water, it's so clear. Everything falls into place ...
JAMES TAYLOR I treated it like every day was my last day with a basketball.
LEBRON JAMES I think a bishop who doesn't give offence to anyone is probably not a good bishop.
JAMES THOMSON It's hard to know which stars in the sky will turn into black holes. And which ones will open up...
JAMES ALTUCHER The James Brown story is not about James Brown. It's about who's getting paid, whose interes...
JAMES MCBRIDE The question of religion in black America is something filmmakers don't want to touch.
JAMES MCBRIDE In a way, light unites the spiritual world and the ephemeral, physical world. People frequently talk...
JAMES TURRELL In 2008, Barack Obama did get Democrats hyperventilating, whipped up to a creamy froth, while John M...
JAMES WOLCOTT I know there's Brooklyn and all the boroughs, but Manhattan specifically is so condensed that th...
THEO JAMES