In our outlook we only have two million barrels per day of spare capacity, most of which will be in Saudi Arabia and most of which will be sour. We continue to see that as a pretty tight market.

Probably, the Midwest region will suffer the largest increases.

Reserves appear to be there, the political will, the Saudi officials that have been talking have been saying that they can get to 15 and keep it there and that would be consistent with our outlook. We think it's plausible.

We expect (the supply situation) to remain that way for the next several weeks.

substantial price increases this winter.

There's a risk that we could have a substantial impact on further refineries. We clearly cannot afford any further disruptions in gasoline production and capacity.