If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.

First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.

You get steely nerves playing poker.