As for the Fed, we look for 50 (basis points, a half-percentage point) next week.

I think Greenspan, last Thursday, really sent a signal that he wants 50 basis points (a half-percentage point). By saying that the GDP (gross domestic product) growth is close to zero, he certainly encouraged the belief that we get half a point.

Another 25 basis point palliative ease in August seems a good bet. But the big easing story is over.

intent on tightening 100 basis points (a full percentage point) in the early 2000 cycle.

The big picture is still that 10-year yields are up 100 basis points (1 percentage point) in basically a month, so to see a 5- or 10-basis-point pullback is not a big deal. It's just a wiggle on the charts. You will get wiggles here and there, and whether it's driven by surprises in economic data, or in geopolitics, oil prices or stocks is anyone's guess.

The big picture is still that 10-year yields are up 100 basis points (1 percentage point) in basically a month, so to see a 5- or 10-basis-point pullback is not a big deal. It's just a wiggle on the charts, ... You will get wiggles here and there, and whether it's driven by surprises in economic data, or in geopolitics, oil prices or stocks is anyone's guess.