FastSaying
A pattern of growth that was heavily skewed towards household spending was not going to be able to continue indefinitely, and the balance-sheet adjustment now occurring in the household sector should reduce the risk of a sharper adjustment later.
Malcolm Edey
Growth
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What we have been seeing is a change in the composition of growth, with businesses rather than households now the main drivers of growth in domestic spending.
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Even though the labor market is tight, the pickup we've seen in wages growth has been fairly modest so far. There's a noticeable pickup there, but it's not huge at this stage.
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It is not hard to appreciate that this provides a significant boost to incomes and spending. With exports representing about a fifth of GDP, each 10 percent increase in the terms of trade adds about 2 percent to the value of national income.
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The increase in business investment now underway will in due course add to the economy's productive capacity. It also offers the prospect of a pick-up in export volumes, particularly in the resources sector.
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Pension funds have become increasingly active investors in commodities, and the growth in the quantum of funds invested has been truly spectacular.
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